Consensus or Fragmentation? The UN Security Council and Syria’s Transition
Cracks are appearing in the post-Assad consensus
Situation Estimate
41 publications
Clashes between the SDF and Local Tribes in Deir al-Zour: Causes and and What Lies Ahead
Recently, the areas east of the Euphrates in Deir al-Zour have been the stage for extensive clashes, pitting the Syrian Democratic Forces on one side against tribal fighters and members of the Deir al-Zour Military Council on the other.
The CAPTAGON Act in Syria: Implications and Effects
The implementation of the Captagon Act has come into effect, 180 days after the date of the enactment of this Act by the Senate and House of Representatives of the United States of America in Congress, and after it was signed by President Joe Biden on December 23, 2022 into law.
The Targeting of Aid Workers in Nigeria,, Objectives, Messages and Causes
Introduction Armed groups around the world, irrespective of their different ideologies, use kidnapping and kidnapping for ransom as a method to achieve one of the following goals: • First:...
Idlib between International Balances and Field Equations
Preface On 2 May 2019, Russia and the Syrian regime launched a ground campaign incursion in the countryside of northern and western Hama. The ground campaign comes in parallel to Russian and regime a...
Initiatives to Return Syrian Refugees What have they achieved in nine months?
Introduction The violations witnessed in Syria since 2011, especially the army and security services’ use of severe violence, resulted in nearly half of Syria’s population, around 5...
ISIS Post-Defeat, Where to?
First: Introduction and Prelude The rise of the Islamic State in Iraq and the Levant (ISIS) was not coincidental but its ascent lasted for almost a decade amid an accumulation of consequentia...
Return of Refugees Opaque Initiatives and Absent Guarantee
Preface This summer witnessed dramatic field developments as the regime and its allied foreign forces were able to take control over the Syrian south shortly after taking control of Damascus countr...
The New Arab Approach to the Syrian Regime
Preface With the outbreak of public protests in Syria, the Arab League issued a decision to suspend Syria’s membership in the league during an urgent meeting held by Arab foreign minist...
The Turkish Existence in Idlib... Where to?
Preface The conflicting parties in Syria have failed to achieve absolute deterrent victories that might have allowed one side to impose its ambition at the expense of the other. This made a consens...